Counterfactual is fit on data BEFORE this date and projected forward.
Marker color: red = decline vs counterfactual, green = increase, yellow = stable.
Daily ship arrivals by vessel type at each global chokepoint, with a 7-day moving average and the same window from one year prior overlaid for comparison.
Connects the Mediterranean to the Red Sea — Asia ↔ Europe shortcut.
Sources: UN Global Platform · IMF PortWatch
Gateway to the Persian Gulf — ~20% of global oil trade transits here.
Sources: UN Global Platform · IMF PortWatch
Connects the Atlantic and Pacific — key for Asia ↔ US East Coast.
Sources: UN Global Platform · IMF PortWatch
Alternate Asia–Europe route around southern Africa.
Sources: UN Global Platform · IMF PortWatch
Connects the Indian and Pacific Oceans — busiest by transits.
Sources: UN Global Platform · IMF PortWatch
Major maritime trade lanes and the chokepoints they depend on.