Global Maritime Nowcast

SeahResearch

Live data from IMF PortWatch · Crisis onset 2026-02-28


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Counterfactual is fit on data BEFORE this date and projected forward.

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Global Port, Countries, Regions & Chokepoint Deviation Map

Marker color: red = decline vs counterfactual, green = increase, yellow = stable.

Refreshing PortWatch data for ports… map will update once loaded.
Deviation vs YoY
Increase (> +5%)
Stable (±5%)
Decline (< −5%)
size = magnitude

Trade Disruptions — Chokepoint Transit Calls

Daily ship arrivals by vessel type at each global chokepoint, with a 7-day moving average and the same window from one year prior overlaid for comparison.

Suez Canal

Connects the Mediterranean to the Red Sea — Asia ↔ Europe shortcut.

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Sources: UN Global Platform · IMF PortWatch

Strait of Hormuz

Gateway to the Persian Gulf — ~20% of global oil trade transits here.

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Sources: UN Global Platform · IMF PortWatch

Panama Canal

Connects the Atlantic and Pacific — key for Asia ↔ US East Coast.

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Sources: UN Global Platform · IMF PortWatch

Cape of Good Hope

Alternate Asia–Europe route around southern Africa.

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Sources: UN Global Platform · IMF PortWatch

Malacca Strait

Connects the Indian and Pacific Oceans — busiest by transits.

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Sources: UN Global Platform · IMF PortWatch

Global Shipping Routes & Chokepoints

Major maritime trade lanes and the chokepoints they depend on.

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Increase (> +5%)
Stable (±5%)
Decline (< −5%)