Maritime Nowcast

SeahResearch

Live data from IMF PortWatch · Crisis onset 2026-02-28

Vessel Type:

Crisis onset date

Counterfactual is fit on data BEFORE this date and projected forward.

Noise filter:2.0 σ

Dims deviations smaller than threshold × per-series σ as likely noise.

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Chokepoints

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Global Port & Chokepoint Deviation Map

Marker color: red = decline vs counterfactual, green = increase, yellow = stable.

Basemap:

Deviation vs YoY

Increase (> +5%)

Stable (±5%)

Decline (< −5%)

size = magnitude